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      Your search returned 11 results

      Listed under:  Mathematics  >  Statistics and probability  >  Probability  >  Conditional probability
      Video

      How to win at rock-paper-scissors

      • TLF-IDA002706

      Find out how to win at rock-paper-scissors using game theory. According to this theory, how should you decide on your next move when you play multiple rounds? See if you can apply this theory in multiple rounds of rock-paper-scissors with someone. Did you win? |Why would this theory be useful in economics?

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      Should you swap?

      • TLF-IDA003649

      This lesson explores the classic probability problem, commonly known as the Monty Hall problem: having chosen what you think is the winning door with the money behind it, should you swap to another door when Monty offers you the opportunity? Students will first use probability language to define the problem. Students will ...

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      Counter-intuitive probability

      • TLF-IDA003650

      This lesson is designed to demonstrate the ways in which random chance can be counter-intuitive. Students will explore how assumptions made in probability can be risky and investigate how to perform precise calculations to answer probability questions. The lesson is outlined in detail including NSW curriculum links, learning ...

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      Assessment task: Non-transitive dice

      • TLF-IDA003651

      This assessment includes a number of questions to enable students to demonstrate their understanding and learning in probability. Students will be asked to explore the outcomes of a set of non-transitive dice using probability tree diagrams, and discover their unique features. The assessment task is outlined in detail including ...

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      Online

      Conduct chance experiments: Year 10 – planning tool

      • TLF-IDA003229

      This planning resource for Year 10 is for the topic of Conduct chance experiments. Students design and conduct chance experiments relating to conditional probability using digital simulation tools to conduct multiple trials. Students are expected to interpret problems and describe their interpretations.

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      Easter Show games of chance

      • TLF-IDA003646

      In this lesson, students will calculate the probability of an average person scoring a shot at a basketball game at the Easter Show. They will then use these probabilities to design a payout system which can absorb the losses from an average player winning big, whilst profiting from the average player who scores very poorly, ...

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      Lotto mania

      • TLF-IDA003647

      In this lesson, students will simulate a lottery, and perform calculations to determine the small probability of their exact numbers being drawn from a lottery. They will also consider the financial investment that would be required to guarantee a lottery win, ultimately determining that such a strategy would end up costing ...

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      Lucky lottery

      • TLF-IDA003656

      In this lesson, students play a simple lottery game, analyse their odds of winning and how this influences the decisions they made. Students determine the differences between experimental and mathematical probability, conduct a simulation modelling an event and critically evaluate the odds of winning the lottery. The lesson ...

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      Online

      Probability calculations: Year 10 – planning tool

      • TLF-IDA003230

      This planning resource for Year 10 is for the topic of Probability calculations. Students design and conduct chance experiments relating to conditional probability using digital simulation tools to conduct multiple trials. Students are expected to interpret problems and describe their interpretations.

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      Online

      reSolve: Probability - Forensic Investigations

      • TLF-IDM025317

      This lesson investigates real-world applications of probability. Students examine real-world case studies of probability being applied in misleading ways. They assess and explain the flaws in the mathematical methodology used. There is also an emphasis on accurate and inaccurate ways of communicating mathematical concepts ...

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      Online

      Determining the probability of a good day for sowing cotton

      • TLF-IDM021282

      This activity is a series of three related tasks that support the use of spreadsheets (Excel), Venn diagrams and two-way tables to develop an understanding of conditional probability when used to determine the probability of a farmer being able to sow a cotton crop. The activity is, based on real historical soil and air ...

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